Written by: Christian Doherty
Posted: 19/03/2012
The global IPO market
may be in the doldrums,
but the Channel Islands
are ideally placed to
profit when confidence
returns, as Christian
Doherty explains.
There are many ways for
private businesses to raise
capital. They can ask the
bank; they can try to attract
an investor; or they can look
to the public markets and list on an exchange.
Until the financial crisis, this last route was
a viable option for most healthy businesses.
The number of initial public offerings (IPOs)
on the world's exchanges held strong, and
London enjoyed a steady stream of companies
going public, both from the UK and beyond.
Market sentiment was broadly bullish
(some might say too much so), and any
company with a reasonable story to tell was
welcomed. Advisers' deal fees swelled as they
shepherded companies into the public arena.
Fast-forward a few years to April 2011.
Engineering firm Edwards Group announced
it was shelving its plans to go public after poor
investor demand left it struggling to meet the
valuation needed for its private equity owners.
It had been on track to raise £350 million, but
could barely muster any investor interest.
Three days later, another highly regarded
business, Moneybookers, was forced to pull
its long-awaited IPO. Tellingly, a comment from a source close to Moneybookers
attempted to put a positive spin on the story.
“Early responses to the IPO were
positive – it was a rare opportunity to invest
in European internet,” the source told the
Daily Telegraph. “But then the IPO was hit by
the perfect storm: Edwards was pulled, other
IPOs traded badly and all of that came against
the backdrop of unrest in the Middle East and
the troubles following the tsunami in Japan.
This wasn't about the company; it was all
about the timing.”
To put this in some context, London saw
268 IPOs in 2007 (both main market and AIM).
In 2008 that fell to 72, and as the first effects
of the financial crisis began to be felt, reached
an all time low of 21 in 2009. In 2010 there was
a significant bounceback to 94, but figures fell
again in 2011 with only 76 successful IPOs on
the London markets.
A difficult market
“Last year was a difficult year to get anything
away,” confirms Mike Jeffrey, Corporate
Finance Partner at Carey Olsen. “Investor
appetite was down on where it had been
previously. Everybody knows that London
markets had a terrible year or two, compared to what they were doing back in 2008, before
things changed so drastically.”
There are a number of reasons for this
serious slowdown in activity: some obvious,
others less so. “People talk about markets
and banks and hedge funds as though they are
an entirely separate world,” says Nick Harriss,
Director of Corporate Finance at Allenby
Capital. “But they're all run by people, and
are affected by the same emotional issues
that affect us all. As much as they claim to be
entirely rational, they're not.”
In Harriss's view, the fundamental problem
remains one of confidence. Businesses need to raise capital, but the two main sources – banks
and the public markets – are less likely to supply
it while the economic uncertainty continues.
But what of the capital markets? Surely
that money will back a good IPO story?
“That's slightly different,” says Harriss.
“It's not that there's a shortage of available
capital. In fact, there are plenty of investment
institutions able to put money in equities
or bonds. But there are a lot of institutions
that are concerned about their own investor
base requiring liquidity, therefore probably
running higher levels of internal cash balances
than might otherwise be the case.”
Leading the way
All of this leaves the Channel Islands in a
peculiar position. Both Guernsey and Jersey
benefited enormously from the bull run
to 2007, which had London at its heart.
While times were good, the Channel Islands
established themselves as the first choice
for both listed funds and trading companies
looking for a tax-neutral jurisdiction in which
to register. That dominance is reflected in the fact that all non-UK companies on the FTSE
100 are registered in Jersey. In the 12 months
to June 2011, Jersey-registered companies
floated on the London Stock Exchange and
AIM raised £8bn, which was over half of all
new capital raised on London markets during
that time. Incidentally, since its foundation
in 1998, the Channel Island Stock Exchange
has also enjoyed healthy growth. It recently
celebrated its 4,000th listing, and now has by
far the most Channel Islands listings of any
global exchange, with more than 1,100.
Mark Lewis, Senior Partner at Appleby
Global, believes there are three pillars that
make the Channel Islands' offering to those
looking to incorporate and then join the
London market. “The first is familiarity – the
Jersey Company Law Regime broadly follows
the UK system. Investors like the English legal
system, so they feel comfortable with Jersey
companies,” he explains. “Second, they like
the flexibility of offshore companies, and
finally they like the tax neutrality.”
It is the tax element that has paved the way
for the Channel Islands' dominance of the listings market. Under the current rules,
any operating company, wherever it is based,
must pay all tax liabilities – corporation tax
and so on – in its home country. Incorporating
the company in the UK would mean that an
extra layer of corporation tax would be added.
A Channel Islands registration, by contrast,
doesn't attract that slice of tax.
That tax saving serves as a beacon to attract
foreign companies looking for a London
listing to the Channel Islands. “They want
to get the maximum capital in from the IPO,
so they don't want to have any additional tax
burdens,” Lewis explains.
Emerging onto the market
While the volume and number of deals might
have dropped, there are some sectors where
companies continue to pursue an IPO as a
way of raising funds. And that isn't limited
to London. A growing number of Jerseyregistered
companies have also been
welcomed on the Hong Kong and Shanghai
exchanges recently, reflecting the importance
of emerging economies in driving growth.
“The ones I've seen more recently have been
mining or commodities groups, and I think
that reflects the fact that they're very attractive
just now to investors, because commodity
prices have been going northwards,” says
Carey Olsen's Mike Jeffrey.
“Those commodities companies are
also a good bet for investors, largely because
emerging markets need more and more
commodities to make the engine run. So
they're very attractive to investors, and as
a result, this is probably a good time for them
to go to market. Glencore and Polymetal were
two examples of that.”
Logic suggests that the market will
rebound, but when the economic freeze
begins to thaw, will Jersey and Guernsey be
in a good position to capitalise on the upturn?
Mike Jeffrey certainly thinks so.
“Clearly, it's not a good time for any
IPOs at the moment, but I firmly believe
that things will change back for the better,”
he says. “And when it does, the Channel
Islands are well placed, not least because
of the historical links, but because in the
meantime, we've all had a chance to digest
this stuff and get better at it.”
However, while no one doubts the ability
of Jersey and Guernsey to handle major
IPO business, there are challenges to be
faced. “There is no doubt that governments
in the major industrial countries are looking
desperately to raise taxes, and anything they
can do to keep the tax revenue within their
zone, rather than let it escape by way of an
offshore jurisdiction, I think they will do,”
says Harriss, who believes this impulse will
be especially strong in the Eurozone
countries, for obvious reasons.
That said, current wisdom dictates that
whatever growth the global economy sees will
principally be driven by emerging economies.
If that proves correct, then companies from
those growing territories need to access
capital markets to maintain their growth. And
the key to the door for many of them will be
found in the Channel Islands.
The ones that made it to market
Glencore: The world's biggest commodity group, its float would have
been big news even in a buoyant market, but in the relative quiet of
2011, the Glencore float was the IPO story of the year – and one of the
biggest in Jersey's history. Long awaited, it initially met expectations,
although some observers cried foul over the size of the company's
free float (10 per cent). The meagre proportion of shares available
to investors attracted the ire of many who believed Glencore wasn't
playing fair. However, under LSE rules, Glencore did nothing wrong.
Polymetal: Another Russian giant, this IPO was one of the biggest handled in Jersey. The silver
producer netted £490.8 million ($766 million) from it's initial public offering in October 2011 and has
said the cash will go toward buying out the minority shareholders as
part of a reverse takeover to expand access to international investors.
Noventa: A mining company with assets in Mozambique, Noventa
specialises in the extraction of tantalum. It raised money in London
on AIM and then in Toronto. It first issued ordinary shares, then
followed that with a tranche of preferred shares, allowing it to grow
the company enormously. “The Jersey element of the deal was crucial,
allowing Noventa to settle shares directly in London and Toronto,” says
Ogier Partner Raulin Amy. “And it also helped that the investor register
contained a lot of prestigious names, while at the same time the Jersey
legal system helped investors keep their faith in the company, offering
the assurance that it is being well run, with supportive advisers.”